The new saudi crown prince: fun, neoliberalism and wars

the new saudi crown prince: fun, neoliberalism and wars

Mohammed bin Salman (May 2015). Image: US Department of Defense / public domain

Mohammed Bin Salman and the Danger of Overreaching

The BND was not comfortable with the prince. At the end of 2015, an assessment by Germany’s foreign intelligence service made the rounds in the media: The concentration of economic and political power on the deputy crown prince Mohammed Bin Salman harbors the danger of "latent danger (…) that he overreaches in trying to establish himself in the succession to the throne during his father’s lifetime".

Saudi Arabia was identified by the BND as "destabilizing factor" and the country a "impulsive intervention policy" (see BND: Saudi Arabia’s policy on succession to the throne) "impulsive"). The strategic ally Saudi Arabia was over the published assessment "downright enraged" and the German government narrates. It was rowed back.

This says something about the sensitivities of the House of Saud and about the dependence of the German government policy on the rich rulers. It also shows that the BND also has its far-sighted moments.

The prince is now, a year and a half later, almost king. His 81-year-old father Salman, son (Ibn) of Abd al-Aziz Al Saud, has changed the succession to the throne and designated his son Mohammed Bin Salman, abbreviated MBS, as crown prince. The council responsible for questions of succession to the throne confirmed the decision with 31 of 34 votes early Wednesday morning.

Power struggle against the Prince of Darkness

With a form of rule that is not common in the 21st century, the.Century still the ancient epithet "absolutist" 3 dissenters bright-eyed, they must be sure of a certain backing to dare such dissidence. How crude she actually is remains hidden from local and family strangers. But there is speculation that the power base is not quite as solid as it is made out to be.

One should not underestimate the coarse media power of the House of Saud, which has satellite channels, online media with coarse coverage, and major newspapers, as well as feeding money to key think tanks in Washington. As an antidote to the widely publicized dot of the Saudi media, the Angry Arab is a good place to start. It describes the power base as narrow. The smooth transition is candy for the media.

The strings to the deep state

This is supported by the fact that the reorganization of the succession to the throne, which also gave MBS the post of deputy prime minister, was preceded by a long power struggle, the goal of which was foreseen not only by the BND. In October 2016, one could read in the New York Times about the fact that. The preliminary result is that cousin Mohammed bin Nayef was sent by MBS to a gilded Retiro.

The Minister of the Interior, famous for a brutal approach to all threats to the rule, which is why the "Prince of Darkness" ("notorious for filling Saudi prisons with dissidents and activists") was allegedly being treasured by Western intelligence services, had to vacate the powerful ministerial post and take the first place in the succession of King. The well-connected Mohammed bin Nayef, however, as Madawi Al-Rasheed notes, keeps the "Strings to the deep state".

Whether the power struggle will continue at other levels is the one question that will arise after the revision of the succession to the throne. Pro forma compensation for the loss of power of the Nayef family branch – Mohammed bin Nayef was not only crown prince and interior minister, but also deputy prime minister – was the appointment of another bin Nayef as interior minister: Abdulaziz bin Saud bin Nayef. As his portrait in the Saudi medium al-Arabiya reveals, he still lacks a recognizable political profile. A pawn.

MBS, the new crown prince, has no lack of profile, although the 31-year-old’s ambitions, or claims in advertising parlance, are still shaping the rough edges.

Stability with an Iron Broom and Entertainment

As defense minister, he is responsible for the military intervention in Yemen, which looks very much like a disaster, with fearful repercussions for the civilian population of Saudi Arabia’s neighboring state and the prospect of endless conflict. As the de facto policy maker of Saudi auben policy, Mohammed Bin Salman is also the mastermind, along with the UAE closely allied to him, of the Gulf front against Qatar.

In addition, as chairman of the main Saudi economic organization, he is the protagonist of Project 2030, which aims to free the country from its dependence on oil revenues, in which the privatization of the oil company Saudi Aramco plays a major role.

One can draw from all this the rough conclusion that these ambitious projects are in conflict with "stable conditions" are in conflict. Although MBS likes to claim that he should/could be a modernizer, this is outweighed by desire, hope, belief in miracles or love for PR. The fact that Saudi citizens have a week of long holidays with his nomination is an indication that he, too, wants to use the recipe of charity to prevent unrest as much as possible.

He, like others, will resort to this toolkit to deal with "Entertainment" to ensure political calm in the mainstream. As "Fun and Neoliberalism" The aforementioned Saudi Arabia expert Madawi al-Rasheed describes one of the four paths that MBS will take. The other three are: the struggle to become a regional power on a par with Turkey, Iran and Israel – without knowing about the complicated interactions, says al-Rasheed.

Secondly, MBS will have a "symbiotic politics" cultivate with U.S. President Trump – while neglecting Europe, Madawi al-Rascheed said, which will fuel competition among European suitors for economic, rustication contracts, especially with Brexit.

As a first immediate consequence, the author predicts, the iron fist policy in the country will continue to be enforced.

It is unclear to what extent Mohammed Bin Salman, as crown prince, will continue to provide fun anecdotes from the "Saudi Rich World" as, for example, in October 2016, when he liked a yacht, which he then spontaneously purchased for allegedly $500 million. The Russian owners are supposed to have left the same day. Meanwhile, back home in Wustenreich, the budget has been trimmed for more austerity, as the Independent reports.

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